Durian prices in Malaysia fell to roughly half their 2025 level in the middle of 2026, and the season was widely described there as a durian tsunami. Then, in July, they turned back up.
This page is about the mechanism: what makes a durian glut happen, what makes one stop, and why the Singapore price behaved differently from the Malaysian one. For where the season stands right now, and the region by region picture, the 2026 season page is kept current and this one is not a substitute for it.
A glut is a supply event, not a demand one
Nothing happened to durian demand in 2026. Two supply things happened at once.
Acreage caught up. A large number of trees planted between roughly 2015 and 2020, during the Musang King export boom to China, reached full production in the same period. A durian tree does not ramp up gradually in market terms: an orchard planted in one window arrives in one window. That is a step change in supply rather than a normal year to year fluctuation.
The weather cooperated. Conditions were favourable across the main growing states, so that enlarged base of trees produced well at the same time.
Neither of those is a price decision by anyone. That is the first useful thing to understand about a glut: no one chose it, and no one can choose to end it either.
What the fall actually looked like
These are the figures reported through the season. They are a record of a period, not a quote for today.
- Grade A Musang King sold around RM38.50 per kg in early July, roughly half its 2025 price
- Farm gate Grade C Musang King fell from about RM15 to about RM10 per kg during the July peak
- In parts of Malaysia in June, Musang King was reported as low as RM6 to RM9 per kg
- In Penang in late June, Musang King and Black Thorn were still holding RM30 to RM40 per kg
- In Singapore, Mao Shan Wang fell from a March peak of about S$28 per kg to about S$20 per kg by late June, with sellers expecting a floor near S$18
- At the very bottom, some Singapore stalls reached about S$6 per kg and a few gave fruit away, according to sellers quoted in July
Two things are visible in that list. Penang did not fall with the rest, because it runs its own season on its own timing. And the spread between grades widened: a glut does not move every grade down by the same proportion, which is why “Musang King is cheap now” was never a single fact.
Why Singapore did not fall as far
Because most of what you pay for in Singapore is not the fruit.
Transport, cold chain, stall rent, labour and overheads do not fall when a Malaysian harvest comes in heavy. Only the fruit component of the price falls. So a halving at the farm gate arrives in Singapore as something much shallower, and the floor sits higher.
This is worth remembering in any year, not just a glut year. It is also why comparing a Malaysian farm gate figure with a Singapore retail figure tells you almost nothing.
What ended it, in July
The turn is the best documented part of the whole story, and the reason given is a supply reason rather than a recovery in demand.
Speaking to AsiaOne on 15 July, one Singapore retailer quoted Mao Shan Wang at S$28 to S$32 per kg, against about S$20 per kg the month before. Another said the lowest it had gone during the glut was S$17 per kg and it was back to S$19. Three days later, The Independent Singapore reported one stall moving from around S$18 to S$19 up to S$22, and another lifting premium Mao Shan Wang and Black Gold from around S$20 to S$21 up to S$23 to S$24.
Both reports give the same cause: the Johor harvest had eased, leaving Pahang as the main source. That is the mechanism that turns a glut off. Supply is not one tap. It is a sequence of regional harvests, and when one of them finishes the total drops even though the season is still running.
So the version of this story most people are still repeating, that 2026 is the cheap year, was true in June and stopped being true around the middle of July.
Why nobody can give you this week’s price
This page will not quote a current price, and you should be wary of pages that do without dating it.
No dated Singapore price report appeared after the middle of July. The only durian pricing published in the first half of August that we could find for Malaysia is a Chinese language financial wire piece dated 14 August, carried by 21st Century Business Herald, putting small lower grade Musang King at about RM9 per kg wholesale against RM90 per kg at the 2025 peak. We are not treating that as an August reading: it names no source for its Malaysian figures, dates them only as “currently”, and the story it tells is the June glut rather than anything after it.
So the most recent figures anyone can honestly quote are still July’s, and July’s are above the June floor, not below it.
How to read a durian price quote at all
Three checks, in order.
Whole fruit or packed flesh. These are different products at different prices. Published figures put edible flesh at 15 to 30 per cent of whole-fruit weight, so the two numbers differ by several times and neither is dishonest. The guide to choosing durian covers the conversion.
Which grade. Grade scores shape, size and how many chambers filled out, and the gap between grades is wide. A “Musang King price” with no grade attached is not a price.
Which date, and which side of the border. A June Malaysian farm gate figure and an August Singapore retail figure are not comparable in any direction.
If you are buying for a business
A glut is the wrong thing to chase and the right thing to plan around. Prices that halve can double back inside a month, as they did in July, and a supply agreement signed at the bottom is worth more than a spot purchase made at it.
The commercial pages go into that properly: how wholesale pricing works from farm gate to landed cost, what grade actually buys you in a kitchen, and sourcing commercially including Singapore’s import rules.
Sources
The July turn is the best sourced part of this page and both reports are linked above: AsiaOne, 15 July 2026 and The Independent Singapore, 18 July 2026. The June figures are drawn from the season reporting collected on the 2026 season page, which carries the regional detail and is the page kept current as the season moves. Where a figure is not individually linked here, treat it as a period report rather than a verified transaction price.