The 2026 Durian Price Drop: What Caused It, Is It Over?

A glut is a supply event with a beginning and an end. This one began with acreage planted for the China boom and ended when the Johor harvest finished in July.

Durian prices in Malaysia fell sharply in the middle of 2026, by about half at one Karak orchard and by far more for some premium fruit, and the season was widely described there as a durian tsunami. Then, in July, they turned back up.

This page is about the mechanism: what makes a durian glut happen, what makes one stop, and why the Singapore price behaved differently from the Malaysian one. For where the season stands right now, and the region by region picture, the 2026 season page is kept current and this one is not a substitute for it.

A glut is a supply event, not a demand one

Nothing happened to durian demand in 2026. Two supply things happened at once.

Acreage caught up. Malaysia’s durian area grew by almost 40 per cent between 2016 and 2024, to 92,100 hectares, a boom fuelled by China importing frozen whole Malaysian durians from 2019 and fresh ones from 2024 (AP via The Star). Many of those younger trees are now bearing. A durian tree does not ramp up gradually in market terms: an orchard planted in one window arrives in one window. That is a step change in supply rather than a normal year to year fluctuation.

The weather cooperated. Hot, dry weather meant that enlarged base of trees ripened fruit at the same time.

Neither of those is a price decision by anyone. That is the first useful thing to understand about a glut: no one chose it, and no one can choose to end it either.

What the fall actually looked like

These are the figures reported through the season. They are a record of a period, not a quote for today.

  • Grade A Musang King from one Karak orchard sold for about RM35.20 per kg in early July, about half the same period in 2025 and roughly a third of the 2024 peak (AP via The Star, 25 August)
  • On 24 June, reports had Musang King down from around RM90 to as little as RM9 per kg, and AFP saw premium Black Thorn and Musang King under RM25 per whole fruit at a Segambut stall (AFP via New Straits Times); Malaysian media reports the same day put it at about RM6 per kg (AsiaOne)
  • In Penang in late June, one premium retailer listed Musang King at RM48, RM38 and RM28 per kg for grades A, B and C, and another seller quoted RM15 to RM35 (The Star)
  • In Singapore, Mao Shan Wang fell from a March peak of about S$28 per kg to about S$20 per kg by 23 June, with sellers expecting a floor near S$18 (AsiaOne, 24 June)
  • At the very bottom, some Singapore stalls reached about S$6 per kg and a few gave fruit away, according to sellers quoted in July

Two things are visible in that list. Penang prices were still up at the end of June, with growers there pointing to rare varieties grown only in Balik Pulau. And the spread between grades widened: a glut does not move every grade down by the same proportion, which is why “Musang King is cheap now” was never a single fact.

Why Singapore did not fall as far

Singapore sellers said that overheads, transport and GST mean they cannot match Malaysian prices.

Those costs do not fall when a Malaysian harvest comes in heavy. Only the fruit component of the price falls. So a halving at the farm gate arrives in Singapore as something much shallower, and the floor sits higher.

This is worth remembering in any year, not just a glut year. It is also why comparing a Malaysian farm gate figure with a Singapore retail figure tells you almost nothing.

What ended it, in July

The turn is the best documented part of the whole story, and the reason given is a supply reason rather than a recovery in demand.

Speaking to AsiaOne on 15 July, one Singapore retailer quoted Mao Shan Wang at S$28 to S$32 per kg, against about S$20 per kg the month before. Another said the lowest it had gone during the glut was S$17 per kg and it was back to S$19. Three days later, The Independent Singapore reported one stall moving from around S$18 to S$19 up to S$22, and another lifting premium Mao Shan Wang and Black Gold from around S$20 to S$21 up to S$23 to S$24.

Both point to supply: The Independent reported that the Johor harvest had eased, leaving Pahang as the main source, and AsiaOne put the rise down to tightening supply as Johor’s season ended. That is the mechanism that turns a glut off. Supply is not one tap. It is a sequence of regional harvests, and when one of them finishes the total drops even though the season is still running.

So the version of this story most people are still repeating, that 2026 is the cheap year, was true in June and stopped being true around the middle of July.

Why nobody can give you this week’s price

Be wary of any page that quotes a current durian price without dating it.

No dated Singapore price report appeared after the middle of July. The only durian pricing published in the first half of August that we could find for Malaysia is a Chinese language financial wire piece dated 14 August, carried by 21st Century Business Herald, putting small lower grade Musang King at about RM9 per kg wholesale against RM90 per kg at the 2025 peak. We are not treating that as an August reading: it names no source for its Malaysian figures, gives no date for the RM9 reading, and the story it tells is the June glut rather than anything after it.

So the most recent figures anyone can honestly quote are still July’s, and July’s are above the June floor, not below it.

How to read a durian price quote at all

Three checks, in order.

Whole fruit or packed flesh. These are different products at different prices. One recent review puts edible flesh at 15 to 30 per cent of whole-fruit weight (Frontiers in Nutrition, 2026), so the two numbers differ by several times and neither is dishonest. The guide to choosing durian covers the conversion.

Which grade. Grade scores shape, size and how many chambers filled out, and the gap between grades is wide. A “Musang King price” with no grade attached is not a price.

Which date, and which side of the border. A June Malaysian farm gate figure and an August Singapore retail figure are not comparable in any direction.

If you are buying for a business

A glut is the wrong thing to chase and the right thing to plan around. Prices can rebound by 40 to 60 per cent within weeks, as Mao Shan Wang did in Singapore in July, and a supply agreement signed at the bottom is worth more than a spot purchase made at it.

The commercial pages go into that properly: how wholesale pricing works from farm gate to landed cost, what grade actually buys you in a kitchen, and sourcing commercially including Singapore’s import rules.

Sources

The July turn is the best sourced part of this page and both reports are linked above: AsiaOne, 15 July 2026 and The Independent Singapore, 18 July 2026. The June figures are drawn from the season reporting collected on the 2026 season page, which carries the regional detail and is the page kept current as the season moves. Where a figure is not individually linked here, treat it as a period report rather than a verified transaction price.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did durian prices crash in Malaysia in 2026?

Two supply factors coincided. Malaysia's durian area grew by almost 40 per cent between 2016 and 2024 as China opened to Malaysian durian, and many of those younger trees are now bearing. Hot, dry weather then ripened that enlarged base of trees together.

Did Singapore durian prices fall as far as Malaysia's?

No. Singapore sellers said overheads, transport and GST meant they could not match Malaysian prices. Those costs do not fall when a Malaysian harvest is heavy, so the drop arrived in Singapore much shallower.

When did the 2026 durian glut end?

In July, as the Johor harvest ended and supply tightened. One Singapore retailer quoted Mao Shan Wang at S$28 to S$32 per kg by mid-July, against about S$20 in June, while others reported S$19 to S$24.

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